Iceland vs Luxembourg Prediction

Iceland17:00Luxembourg

UEFA Nations League · Mon 17:00

Updated Nov 11, 08:45

Match info

Competition
UEFA Nations League
Kick-off
November 16, 2026 · 17:00
Match grade
B

Capped grade: on this type of bet, our AI never gives more than C.

Our AI analysed Iceland vs Luxembourg: recent form, injuries, confirmed lineups and odds. It picks out the most interesting bets, sorted by risk.

  • Our AI's rankingBets from most to least recommended, each tagged with its risk level, Cautious (odds under 1.60), Balanced (1.60 to 2.20) or Bold (2.20 and up).
  • The chance the bet lands according to our AIA = 70%+, B = 60%, C = 50%. On bets not yet verified on past seasons, the grade is capped at C.
  • Good value +X%The odds pay more than the risk, even blending our AI's view with the bookmaker's. That's where the best bets are.

Head-to-head Iceland – Luxembourg

  • Luxembourg0–3Iceland
  • Iceland1–1Luxembourg
  • Luxembourg3–1Iceland

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPGDPtsForm
1Iceland4+68DWWD
2Estonia4+16DWDD
3Bulgaria4-24WLDL
4Luxembourg4-53LLLW

Probable XI

Official line-ups come out about 40 min before kick-off. Until then: each team's last starting XI.

Iceland4-2-3-1

Started on 06/10 against Estonia

  1. H. Valdimarsson
  2. V. Pálsson
  3. S. Þórðarson
  4. H. Magnússon
  5. D. Grétarsson
  6. G. Sigurðsson
  7. Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
  8. H. Haraldsson
  9. A. Guðjohnsen
  10. M. Anderson
  11. O. Óskarsson

Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson

Luxembourg4-1-4-1

Started on 06/10 against Bulgaria

  1. Anthony Moris
  2. Florian Bohnert
  3. Vahid Selimović
  4. Dirk Carlson
  5. Eric Veiga
  6. Tomas de Sousa Moreira
  7. Omar Natami
  8. Vincent Thill
  9. Enzo Duarte
  10. Hamza Kadamani
  11. Jayson Videira Pereira

Coach: J. Strasser

Analysis, Stats and Other Bets

Form (last 5 matches)

IcelandDWWDL
LuxembourgLLLWW

Goals per match

Iceland1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded
Luxembourg1.0 scored · 1.1 conceded

Head-to-head (last 3)

1Iceland1Draws1Luxembourg

0 absentees or doubts reported

Our AI's track record

Our AI's A grades: 78% won

626 of 807 since 25/10

Our AI says 75%? It lands 74% of the time.

An A grade can lose. Past results, not a promise. 18+

See all results →

Read the full reasoning behind the grade, for free.

  • The full written analysis and our AI's verdict
  • The last 10 matches in detail: score, xG, corners, cards
  • Absentees' names and how much they matter
  • 14 more bet types, graded A to F
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Questions about Iceland – Luxembourg

When is Iceland – Luxembourg?

On November 16, 2026 · 17:00 (UEFA Nations League).

What is the head-to-head record between Iceland and Luxembourg?

Over the last 3 meetings: 1 win(s) for Iceland, 1 draw(s), 1 win(s) for Luxembourg.

What form are Iceland and Luxembourg in?

Over their last 5 matches, Iceland have 2 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 1 loss(es); Luxembourg, 2 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 3 loss(es).

How does our AI grade this match?

Our AI computes a probability for each bet from form, goals, absentees, head-to-head and odds, then grades it from A to F. Every result is published in our history, won or lost.

All UEFA Nations League predictions →