FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction: Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 051 – 2Bayern München

Final score

Bundesliga · Sat 14:30

Grade updated with the line-ups at 14:00

Match info

Competition
Bundesliga
Kick-off
November 7, 2026 · 14:30
Main pick

Draw or Bayern MünchenDouble chance

Odds1.10A90 %

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Odds

Our AI's Ranking: The Result

Tap a bet to see why our AI recommends it.

  1. 1Under 4.5 goalsBalancedC1.62✓ Won
    • 3 of Bayern München's last 5 matches stayed under 4.5 goals
    • FSV Mainz 05 matches: 4 goals on average
    • Bayern München create 3.3 xG per game
  2. 2Over 2.5 goalsCautiousC1.22✓ Won
    • 5 of Bayern München's last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals
    • Bayern München create 3.3 xG per game
  3. 3Bayern München to winCautiousA · 74 %1.27✓ Won
    • Bayern München are unbeaten in 23 matches
    • Bayern München won 3 of their last 5 matches

Head-to-head FSV Mainz 05 – Bayern München

  • FSV Mainz 053–4Bayern München
  • Bayern München2–2FSV Mainz 05
  • Bayern München3–0FSV Mainz 05
  • FSV Mainz 052–1Bayern München
  • FSV Mainz 050–4Bayern München

Analysis, Stats and Other Bets

Form (last 5 matches)

FSV Mainz 05LLWLW
Bayern MünchenDWWDW

Goals per match

FSV Mainz 052.0 scored · 2.0 conceded
Bayern München3.3 scored · 0.9 conceded

Head-to-head (last 5)

1FSV Mainz 051Draws3Bayern München

0 absentees or doubts reported

Our AI's track record

Our AI's A grades: 78% won

624 of 805 since 25/10

Our AI says 75%? It lands 74% of the time.

An A grade can lose. Past results, not a promise. 18+

See all results →

What our AI's analysis covers

Mainz host Bayern München

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Recent form favours Bayern

Mainz have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 14. Their last 10 record is 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. …

Lineups and player status

Neither team has any listed absentees. The lineup changes list P. Tietz and B. Hollerbach as substitutes for Mainz, while L. Díaz is not on Bayern’s match sheet; these statuses do not establish additional confirmed absences. …

Bayern lead the recent meetings

Across the 5 listed head-to-head matches, Bayern have 3 wins, Mainz have 1 and 1 ended in a draw. The most recent listed meeting finished 4-3 to Bayern. …

Odds and AI probabilities

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Goals, corners and player markets

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No main bet selected

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Official line-ups

FSV Mainz 053-5-2

R. Zentner · D. da Costa · F. Gruber · K. Potulski · A. Caci · Lee Jae-Sung · K. Sano · N. Amiri · S. Widmer · S. Becker · R. Königsdörffer

Manager: U. Fischer

Bayern München4-2-3-1

M. Neuer · K. Laimer · D. Upamecano · J. Tah · J. Stanišić · J. Kimmich · A. Pavlović · M. Olise · N. Brown · L. Karl · H. Kane

Manager: V. Kompany

FSV Mainz 05 host Bayern München with the visitors arriving in stronger recent form. Mainz have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Bayern have 3 wins and 2 draws. Our AI gives Bayern München to win a 74% probability, with a grade of A and odds of 1.27; the probability implied by those odds is 79%.

Read the full reasoning behind the grade, for free.

  • The full written analysis and our AI's verdict
  • The last 10 matches in detail: score, xG, corners, cards
  • Absentees' names and how much they matter
  • 14 more bet types, graded A to F
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Questions about FSV Mainz 05 – Bayern München

When is FSV Mainz 05 – Bayern München?

On November 7, 2026 · 14:30 (Bundesliga).

What is the head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München?

Over the last 5 meetings: 1 win(s) for FSV Mainz 05, 1 draw(s), 3 win(s) for Bayern München.

What form are FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern München in?

Over their last 5 matches, FSV Mainz 05 have 2 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 3 loss(es); Bayern München, 3 win(s), 2 draw(s) and 0 loss(es).

How does our AI grade this match?

Our AI computes a probability for each bet from form, goals, absentees, head-to-head and odds, then grades it from A to F. Every result is published in our history, won or lost.

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