FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction

FC Porto4 – 1Napoli

Final score

Champions League · Wed 20:00

Our AI got it wrong

Grade updated with the line-ups at 19:45

Match info

Competition
Champions League
Kick-off
November 4, 2026 · 20:00
Main pick

Under 3.5 goals

Odds1.40A72 %

FC Porto vs Napoli Odds

Our AI's Ranking: The Result

Tap a bet to see why our AI recommends it.

  1. 1Under 3.5 goalsCautiousA · 72 %1.40✗ Lost
    • 2 of FC Porto's last 3 matches stayed under 3.5 goals
    • FC Porto matches: 2.7 goals on average
    • 3 of Napoli's last 5 matches went over 3.5 goals
  2. 2Under 4.5 cardsBalancedC1.67✗ Lost
    • FC Porto and Napoli get 3.4 cards per game combined
    • FC Porto get 1.3 cards per game
  3. 3Over 1.5 goalsCautiousA · 75 %1.25✓ Won
    • 4 of Napoli's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals
    • Napoli matches: 3.4 goals on average

Analysis, Stats and Other Bets

Form (last 5 matches)

FC PortoLLL
NapoliWLLLD

Goals per match

FC Porto0.7 scored · 2.0 conceded
Napoli1.4 scored · 2.0 conceded

Head-to-head (last 0)

No recent head-to-head.

17 absentees or doubts reported

Our AI's track record

Our AI's A grades: 78% won

624 of 805 since 25/10

Our AI says 75%? It lands 74% of the time.

An A grade can lose. Past results, not a promise. 18+

See all results →

What our AI's analysis covers

FC Porto against Napoli

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Recent form for FC Porto and Napoli

FC Porto's supplied form covers 3 matches, rather than a full set of 5 or 10. All 3 were defeats: their most recent was a 0-1 home loss, preceded by a 2-3 away loss and a 0-2 home loss. …

Squad availability for FC Porto and Napoli

FC Porto list C. Smalling, V. Sousa, D. Prpic, William Gomes and Gabriel Mec as missing. O. Pietuszewski is questionable, so his availability remains uncertain. …

FC Porto and Napoli head to head

The supplied head-to-head record contains 0 meetings between FC Porto and Napoli. There are therefore no previous scores or results here to use as a guide to this fixture. …

Bookmaker prices against the model

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Other goals and match markets

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The verdict on FC Porto against Napoli

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Official line-ups

FC Porto4-3-3

Diogo Costa · Martim Fernandes · J. Bednarek · J. Kiwior · Alberto Baio · Gabri Veiga · P. Rosario · Victor Mow Froholdt · Borja Sainz · André Silva · Pepê Aquino

Manager: F. Farioli

Napoli4-3-3

A. Meret · S. Beukema · Amir Rrahmani · Rafa Marín · A. Vergara · A. Zambo Anguissa · B. Gilmour · S. McTominay · M. Politano · R. Højlund · K. De Bruyne

Manager: M. Allegri

FC Porto host Napoli in the UEFA Champions League. The principal prediction is Under 3.5 goals, graded A with a 77% model probability; the available bookmaker price is 1.44. That forecast favours a contained scoreline, not a result for either side.

Read the full reasoning behind the grade, for free.

  • The full written analysis and our AI's verdict
  • The last 10 matches in detail: score, xG, corners, cards
  • Absentees' names and how much they matter
  • 14 more bet types, graded A to F
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Questions about FC Porto – Napoli

When is FC Porto – Napoli?

On November 4, 2026 · 20:00 (Champions League).

What form are FC Porto and Napoli in?

Over their last 5 matches, FC Porto have 0 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 3 loss(es); Napoli, 1 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 3 loss(es).

How does our AI grade this match?

Our AI computes a probability for each bet from form, goals, absentees, head-to-head and odds, then grades it from A to F. Every result is published in our history, won or lost.

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